The National Hurricane Center has issued its final advisory on the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, which briefly formed in the central Atlantic before weakening into an open tropical wave. While the storm has dissipated, its remnants continue to move westward and are expected to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Caribbean this weekend.
As of the National Hurricane Center’s 11 a.m. advisory on Friday, August 28, Tropical Storm Dolly was downgraded to a remnant system. The storm had been classified as a tropical storm for just one day after forming on August 27 before succumbing to hostile atmospheric conditions. Dolly was the fourth named storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.
According to meteorologists, Dolly was unable to maintain its tropical characteristics due to significant southwesterly wind shear and dry air in the region. The system has been reclassified as an “open tropical wave,” though it continues to maintain maximum sustained winds of approximately 40 mph.
As of the final advisory, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly were located approximately 1,000 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The system’s precise position was near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 46.9 West. The remnants are moving westward at a brisk pace of about 25 mph, and this motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles to the north of the system’s center. The winds associated with the remnants are expected to decrease below tropical-storm force on Saturday.
On the current forecast track, the remnants of Dolly should be nearing the Leeward Islands on Saturday night and Sunday. The system will then continue its westward movement, with rainfall expected to spread into the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola by Sunday and Monday.
The National Hurricane Center notes that little change in strength is likely during the next couple of days, and the system is expected to continue weakening as it encounters more hostile conditions. While the system has lost its tropical cyclone designation, its moisture and energy will continue to move westward across the Caribbean.
The primary threat from the remnants of Dolly is heavy rainfall. Meteorologists warn that the Leeward Islands could experience heavy rain late Saturday into Sunday. This rainfall is then expected to move into the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.
The National Hurricane Center has specifically warned that “this heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain of the Leeward Islands.” While the rainfall could be beneficial for some areas that have experienced dry conditions, there is concern that it could cause dangerous flash flooding in vulnerable locations.
Residents in the Lesser Antilles are being advised to closely monitor Dolly’s remnants, which are expected to approach the Leeward Islands this weekend with downpours and gusty squalls. There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect.
The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center indicates that the remnants of Dolly are unlikely to regenerate into a tropical cyclone in the near term. The National Hurricane Center gives the system only a 10% chance of development over the next seven days.
Forecasters note that redevelopment is unlikely while the system moves westward toward the Caribbean due to dry air and wind shear. However, some global models have hinted at the possibility that the system could reorganize later next week if it survives its interaction with land areas.
AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva noted that “if Dolly can survive the dry air, wind shear and land interaction near the islands, the environment does become more conducive for development and strengthening off the southeast U.S. coast mid to late next week.” There is a possibility that the system could reorganize near the Bahamas if conditions become more favorable.
The National Hurricane Center has issued its final advisory on Tropical Storm Dolly, confirming that the system has degenerated into an open tropical wave. Key points from the latest advisory include:
What is the latest National Hurricane Center update on Dolly?
The National Hurricane Center issued its final advisory on Tropical Storm Dolly at 11 a.m. on August 28, confirming the system has weakened to an open tropical wave with 40 mph winds.
Where is Tropical Storm Dolly now?
The remnants of Dolly are located approximately 1,000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, moving west at 25 mph.
Is Dolly expected to become a hurricane?
No. Forecasters do not expect the remnants of Dolly to regain tropical storm strength, let alone become a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center gives the system only a 10% chance of redevelopment.
Which areas could be affected by Dolly?
The Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola could experience heavy rainfall from Dolly’s remnants through Monday.
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